{
  "generatedAt": "2026-09-16",
  "seed": 20260917,
  "trialsPerSettingPerHorizon": 10000,
  "input": [
    {
      "setting": 1,
      "big": 273.1,
      "reg": 409.6
    },
    {
      "setting": 2,
      "big": 270.8,
      "reg": 385.5
    },
    {
      "setting": 3,
      "big": 266.4,
      "reg": 336.1
    },
    {
      "setting": 4,
      "big": 254,
      "reg": 290
    },
    {
      "setting": 5,
      "big": 240.1,
      "reg": 268.6
    },
    {
      "setting": 6,
      "big": 229.1,
      "reg": 229.1
    }
  ],
  "estimator": "観測したBIG・REG・非当選回数について、設定1～6の多項分布対数尤度を比較し、最大の設定を推定",
  "results": [
    {
      "games": 800,
      "trialsPerSetting": 10000,
      "totalTrials": 60000,
      "allSettingsExactRatePct": 23.31,
      "trueSetting6ExactRatePct": 49.97,
      "trueSetting6HighRatePct": 58.99,
      "trueSetting6EstimatedDistributionPct": {
        "1": 23.77,
        "2": 3.48,
        "3": 2.59,
        "4": 11.17,
        "5": 9.02,
        "6": 49.97
      },
      "confusionCounts": {
        "1": {
          "1": 5894,
          "2": 438,
          "3": 361,
          "4": 995,
          "5": 779,
          "6": 1533
        },
        "2": {
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          "3": 379,
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          "5": 822,
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        },
        "3": {
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          "2": 380,
          "3": 438,
          "4": 1201,
          "5": 809,
          "6": 2360
        },
        "4": {
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          "2": 389,
          "3": 398,
          "4": 1276,
          "5": 926,
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        "5": {
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        "6": {
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          "3": 259,
          "4": 1117,
          "5": 902,
          "6": 4997
        }
      }
    },
    {
      "games": 1600,
      "trialsPerSetting": 10000,
      "totalTrials": 60000,
      "allSettingsExactRatePct": 26.49,
      "trueSetting6ExactRatePct": 55.5,
      "trueSetting6HighRatePct": 67.47,
      "trueSetting6EstimatedDistributionPct": {
        "1": 11.72,
        "2": 3.72,
        "3": 7,
        "4": 10.09,
        "5": 11.97,
        "6": 55.5
      },
      "confusionCounts": {
        "1": {
          "1": 5727,
          "2": 623,
          "3": 1065,
          "4": 861,
          "5": 794,
          "6": 930
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        "2": {
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        "3": {
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          "4": 1206,
          "5": 1082,
          "6": 1840
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        "4": {
          "1": 2905,
          "2": 541,
          "3": 1098,
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        "5": {
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        "6": {
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          "2": 372,
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          "6": 5550
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      }
    }
  ]
}
